VIII. State Demographer on MN's Growing Worker Shortage Print E-mail

 

 

Increasing Retirements Lead to MN's Growing Worker Shortage

 

 

Just as cities with a large number of deportations have experienced economic downturns, states would also lose revenue and their GDP's would decline1 as industries such susan broweras health care, agriculture, construction, and leisure and hospitality lost large shares of their workforces. A recent article in the Star Tribune, "Star Tribune 50: Employers seek skilled hands, minds,"2 indicates that with the increasing retirement of the baby boomer generation, MN is now near full employment. It is expected that MN will have a shortage of workers by mid 2018.


The tight workforce has led to projections of economic growth of 4.3 percent in MN from 2014 to 2024, mostly in health care, compared with 6.5 percent nationally. State Demographer Susan Brower said that “If not for populations of color and the foreign born, the size of Minnesota’s workforce would be declining.” Immigrant growth in Minnesota is below the national average, while the percent of 18-to-25-year-olds leaving the state is growing. MN will experience a decline soon. Between 2015 and 2020, the State Demographic Center projects that the labor force will grow by 21,000 while the number of jobs increases by 100,000.2

 

In a Star Tribune interview in May, 2017,3 Sandee Joppa, Executive Director of RealTime Talent, also stated that MN is already beginning to experience a worker shortage. By 2022, that Real Time expects the shortage to grow to 278,000. That's without heightened deportation of immigrants.  Deporting MN's 59,000 unauthorized family breadwinners could raise MN's 2022 total worker shortage to 337,000.

 

 

References

 

1.  Edwards, Ryan and Ortega, Francesc.  “The Economic Impacts of Removing Unauthorized Immigrant Workers:  An Industry- and State-Level Analysis.”  Center for American Progress, September 21, 2016.
https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/immigration/reports/2016/09/21/144363/the-economic-impacts-of-removing-unauthorized-immigrant-workers/

 

2. DePass, Dee and Roberts, Catherine.  “Star Tribune 50:  Employers seek skilled hands, minds.”    Star Tribune, May 23, 2017.
http://www.startribune.com/star-tribune-50-employers-seek-skilled-hands-minds/423210783/

 

3. St. Anthony, Neal.  “RealTime Talent believes information sharing can help it improve Minnesota’s workforce.”  Star Tribune, May 6, 2017.

http://www.startribune.com/realtime-talent-believes-information-sharing-can-help-it-improve-minnesota-s-workforce/421398503/

 

 

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By Lornet Turnbull
YES! Magazine
October 8, 2016

 


In January, Oregon became the first state in the country to begin automatically registering eligible citizens to vote when they obtain or renew their driver's licenses or state IDs, completely shifting the burden of voter registration from the individual to the government. 

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